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Mercantile Exchange Nepal Limited                               MEX EXPRESS
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KYC: Crude Oil                                                  MEX News Portal                                                Volume: 6 • Issue: 1 • Year: 2014 A.D

                                      Page 2                                                        Page 3   Market Perspective

    From the CEO’s Desk                                                                                                                               Page 4

                                                                Metal: Trendish in 2014

       Looking at the pages of our glorious                      Metals are one of the major
                          past, I am extremely proud of                    commodities that are traded
                     what we have achieved and even             in the exchanges all around the globe.
                     more eager about our outlook for an        In the commodity markets, metals are
                     equally promising future. As we step       very luring for the investors. The reasons
                     into the 6th year of our operations,       for the higher demand of the metal
                     we have successfully transformed           commodities are the higher values of the
from a start-up to becoming, without any exaggeration,          commodities and comparatively easier
the leading commodity exchange in the country. This             analytical forecast. Usually, metals can
accomplishment has been the concentrated effort                 be divided into: Precious Metals and Base
of all the stakeholders involved and has placed the             Metals (Industrial Metals). The examples
organization on a pedestal, building our clients trusts         of Precious Metals are Gold, Silver,
along the way while garnering business across the               Platinum, Palladium, etc. whereas the
nation. While conveying the success story of MEX, I             examples of base metals are copper, zinc,
always fall back on three guiding principles- each of           nickel, aluminum, etc.
which has helped define who we are today.
                                                                    When the world came across the               It would be interesting to know that       period, but they remain near their 10-year
Transparent Perspective: As we continue to tread on             global financial crisis during 2008/09, the  the recent data show Nickel as the most        peaks. Stocks of copper, lead, tin and zinc
a given path, each new day offers new chance for us             prices of not only metals, but many others   traded metal commodity in the world.           are all down (approximately 30 percent
to grow together, pursue opportunities and improve              collapsed. By now, most of the prices have   How did it happen that Nickel emerged          each) over a year ago, but nonetheless
upon the past. We have always maintained in-                    revived already and few are very close to    being so special for the commodity market      remain well above their 10-year averages.
depth relationship with our clients by studying their           doing the same. It was already in February   overtaking Gold or Platinum? The major
environments, challenges and goals, so that we can              of 2011 when the World Bank metals           reason why Nickel emerged up in the                Though metal prices went down by
offer tangible solutions with a candid perspective. We          price index increased by 164 percent to      market was the Indonesia’s imposition of       almost 5 percent in 2013, which was the
have and will always manage our business around the             reach the value of 126 in comparison to      an export ban on unprocessed ore which         result of supply concerns and weaker
evolving requirements of our clients thereby being at the       the low of December 2008. There were         was adopted in January 2014 also being         demand; the results might show difference
forefront of change and value - since value is what our         several increases as such with major         escalated by the concerns over Russian         in 2014. Though silver prices showed a
clients demand.                                                 commodities before the complete revival      supply activities. These two countries         decline of 1.5 percent, the increment in
                                                                from the financial crisis. Investments       hold around 40 percent of the mined            gold and platinum prices have covered it
Impeccable Mechanism: In an evolving marketplace,               already increased and there was strong       nickel in the world which is the most          up. Gold prices, though being volatile look
the mechanism has been constantly developed with                supply response of the commodities which     important ingredient for the steel-making.     to show some bullish signals according to
due diligence keeping in mind the needs of the market           justified that the increment observed        Commodity Market Outlook in April              the report. Similarly, never ending labor
participants. With the introduction of Market Makers,           was sustainable. The decline was very        states “China relies heavily on Indonesian     strikes in South Africa look to escalate the
the market has received a thrust and the liquidity has          worrisome upto the start of 2011 but the     nickel ore to produce nickel pig iron, a less  Platinum prices in the market.
enhanced significantly. The exchange is also constantly         institutions and the countries had already   expensive alternative to refined nickel. If
reviewing policies and procedures, and upgrading it to          started the counter measures by then         the Indonesian ore supply is permanently           Besides that, resolution of India’s
the best of our times. I must admit that no mechanism is        which demystified the effects of financial   removed from the market, China will be         limits on gold imports to check its current
perfect and there will always be loopholes which can be         crisis. The major portion of the increased   forced to substitute with higher-grade         account shortage and China’s efforts to
addressed and rectified yet the mechanism which we are          supply of the metal was for the massively    metal, which could dramatically change         adjust its “shadow banking” system might
currently following is nearing perfection and we plan to        growing China whose consumption share        the market which has been plagued with         put extra sliding pressure on prices, given
keep the ball rolling to attain it in the ensuing days.         reached to 45 percent. Upto last year, the   chronic stocks and over-supply since the       that gold has been used as a security in
                                                                share was only around 42 percent whereas     financial crisis in 2008.”                     financing deals.
Competent Employees: The most important assets                  upto two decades back, the consumption
which have brought the exchange through all the                 share was only 5 percent.                        Presently, the stockpiles of the metals                         Chittaranjan Pandey
hurdles thrown have been the competent employees.                                                            have gone down in major exchanges,
With the extensive knowledge base, deep-rooted                      From the above discussion, we can        only by 0.5 percent though, but if the                                  Assistant Manager
professionalism and unwavering commitment of our                see that the decline in the price level      historical standards are seen, the levels                               Research & Development
highly-qualified staff, the exchange has always stood the       halted after a certain time but it was very  can be interpreted as going up. For                                     MEX Nepal
test of time and moved ahead with dignity and a sense           unfortunate that the halt did not last long  example, nickel stocks are up 72 percent
of enthusiasm unmatched in many ways. Our team is               and the coming to 2014, the decline in       at end-2014Q1 (y/y). Aluminum stocks,
always committed to delivering highest products to our          the World Bank metals price index came       which have been rising since end-2008,
clients and unparalleled services too.                          down by 3 percent. During the first quarter  increased just 0.2 percent during the same
                                                                of 2014, when the price declined, it was
As I conclude this message, I am taken aback by the past        obvious that Chinese imports slowed
accomplishments but a sudden realization dawns on me-           down significantly. Besides that, the
to accomplish further, we cannot remain stagnant! The           lowering of investment activity trying to
best is surely yet to come!                                     cash-in the booming property market also
                                                                posed a serious threat to the price level.
                                            - Jitesh Surendran  For example, development of Chinese
                                                                imports of aluminum, zinc, copper and
                                                                iron ore has braked to zero or turned
                                                                destructive in three months to February
                                                                after facing growth rates in excess of 50
                                                                percent in three months to November.
                                                                The Commodity Outlook Report shows
                                                                that prices for lead, tin, copper, aluminum
                                                                and iron ore declined 0.6, 1, 2, 3 and 11
                                                                percent respectively. Exceptions to this
                                                                trend were nickel and zinc whose prices
                                                                increased (up 6 percent each).

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